Bias Guide
How MarketBiasTracker Works
MarketBiasTracker combines trend structure, momentum, volatility, volume, and advanced market behavior into a simple directional bias system. This page explains how to read the data in plain language.
1. How To Read This
Example
BTCUSDT
Overall: 7.7/10 (Bearish) means downside pressure is currently stronger than upside pressure.
1H bearish + 4H neutral + 1D bearish means the market has moderate bearish alignment, but not full alignment across all timeframes.
When multiple timeframes point in the same direction, the reading usually has stronger conviction. When they conflict, it is usually better to be cautious.
2. Score system
0
Strongly bearish conditions.
Trend and momentum are leaning clearly to the downside.
5
Neutral conditions.
The market has no clear directional edge.
10
Strongly bullish conditions.
Trend and momentum are leaning clearly to the upside.
Important: bearish scores are displayed differently for clarity
Internally, the system works on a scale where lower values are bearish and higher values are bullish.
To make bearish strength easier to read, a bearish score can be shown in inverted display form.
Raw score: 2.3
Displayed as: 7.7/10 (Bearish)
3. Core indicators
RSI (Relative Strength Index)
Measures momentum and speed of recent price movement.
Higher RSI can suggest a strong move or a stretched market. Lower RSI can suggest weakness or oversold conditions.
Example: RSI 72 may mean the move is strong, but also getting extended.
EMA Stack
Shows trend structure across short, medium, and long term.
EMA20 > EMA50 > EMA200 usually signals bullish structure.
The opposite arrangement usually signals bearish structure.
Example: 20↓ 50↓ 200↓ suggests a bearish trend structure.
ATR (Average True Range)
Measures volatility rather than direction.
High ATR means faster and wider price movement.
Low ATR means calmer or slower conditions.
Volume
Helps measure the strength behind a move.
High volume can support conviction.
Low volume can make a move less reliable.
4. Advanced Indicators
Exhaustion Risk
Estimates whether a move may be running too far too fast.
High exhaustion does not guarantee reversal, but it can warn that the current move is becoming stretched.
Bounce Probability
Estimates the chance of a temporary reaction or rebound from a stretched condition.
Useful when price is pressing into support, resistance, or overextended conditions.
Liquidity Sweep
Detects moves through key levels that may represent stop hunting, rejection, or breakout acceptance.
This can help distinguish between a true continuation and a fake move.
Divergence
Looks for disagreement between price action and momentum.
Example: price makes a new low while RSI does not. This can hint that downside momentum is weakening.
Trend Friction
Shows conflict between short-term movement and the broader trend structure.
When friction is high, the market may be less clean and less decisive.
5. Timeframes
1H
Short-term pressure and near-term movement.
Useful for quick changes in market tone.
4H
Swing structure and medium-term direction.
Often more stable than 1H while still responsive.
1D
Broader market direction.
Helps define the larger trend environment.
A stronger reading usually appears when multiple timeframes point in the same direction. A weaker or riskier environment appears when timeframes are mixed.
6. Alignment and conviction
Strong alignment
Multiple timeframes point in the same direction.
This usually means stronger conviction.
Mixed alignment
Timeframes disagree with each other.
This usually means caution and lower clarity.
Neutral structure
No strong directional edge is present.
This usually means patience is better than forcing a trade.
7. How Traders Can Benefit From This Data
Strong bullish conditions
Traders may look for long setups, continuation patterns, or pullback entries in the direction of strength.
Strong bearish conditions
Traders may look for short setups, breakdowns, or rallies into weakness.
Mixed or neutral conditions
Traders may reduce risk, stay selective, or wait for clearer structure before acting.
Important note
MarketBiasTracker is a decision-support system. It is designed to help users read structure, momentum, and market context more clearly. It is not a guarantee of future price movement.